Thursday, November 06, 2008

Analogies that illuminate Dwight Howard’s free-throw woes
A candidate in a tight race has much greater confidence in a poll with a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points than a poll so flawed that its margin of error stretches 12 points in each direction. Well, a free-throw stroke that consistently produces a shot that travels about 15 feet, plus or minus three inches, is far more accurate than one whose margin of distance-related error is plus or minus 12 inches. If you’ve watched Howard shoot free throws, you know his directional accuracy is pretty good but that he has no idea how far the ball is going to travel.

As I’ve explained before, Howard was a fine free-throw shooter until his second pro season, when the Magic’s coaching staff started monkeying around with his shooting style.

Think of the Magic as Howard’s doctor and his stroke as his heart. A smart doctor will leave a healthy heart in the patient’s body. This doctor, however, removed Howard’s healthy heart, then compounded the blunder by replacing it with a diseased one! Howard’s putrid percentages, which have been even worse in the 2007 and 2008 playoffs and the Olympics than in the last three regular seasons, in which he never reached 60 percent, suggest that his body is rejecting the transplant even as his brain tries gamely to convince himself that all is well.

Stay tuned for an essay relating Howard’s free-throw saga to the monster created by Dr. Frankenstein.

5 comments:

  1. Anonymous7:41 AM

    Hai Hanz,

    Nice to see another NBA column.
    In one of the Magic's games the commentators suggested that Howards weightlifting and increased strength are also at fault for his sloppy free throw shooting. Can there be any truth to that?
    And while Howard is working on his free throws can he start working on a jumper too? because if you get him 6 feet from the hoop you can guard him with both hand in your pants.

    Regards,

    Novio Magus.

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  2. Hi, Novio.

    I don't think the muscles are a major problem. Lots of powerful, muscular guys have shot well over the years. I just wish the NBA didn't reward brute force, which provides the incentive for all the weight lifting. (Of course, even if the extra bulk doesn't affect his shot-making potential, all the time in the weight room does take away from time he could spend on a repertoire of shots from 8 to 15 feet.)
    There's no excuse for Dwight not having a good jumper at this stage. It hurt the Magic in the 2008 playoffs and it'll do so in 2009 if he doesn't address this shortcoming.

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